For
your analysis section, for each table you need to do three things.
2.
State the null and alternative/research hypothesis.
3.
Interpret the chi-square statistic.
Table
1.

1. Table description is
usually a paragraph or so. Here is just one model. The “bits” don’t have to be
in this order but they should all be there.
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LEAD IN:
NOTE THE USE OF THE TOTAL COLUMN TO SET THE STAGE. IT GIVES A POINT OF
REFERENCE FOR WHAT IS BIG OR SMALL IN THIS PARTICULAR TABLE. |
High
poverty is defined as a 10 percent or higher poverty rate in a tract, and
according to this classification, some 35.1 percent of all MA tracts reported
a high poverty rate to the census in 2000. Poverty was not evenly spread
across the state, however. Rather, it appears to have been concentrated along
racial and ethnic lines. |
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FIRST,
SOME GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF WHAT THE TABLE SHOWS. NOTE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN
A POSITIVE AND NEGATIVE RELATIONSHIP. |
Consider
Table 1. It documents a positive relationship between the proportion of
African-Americans in tracts in Massachusetts, 2000, and poverty levels in
those tracts. That is, as the proportion of African-Americans increases, so
does the poverty rate. |
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Follow with a more SPECIFIC STATEMENT ANCHORED IN
ACTUAL NUMBERS. COMPARE ACROSS CATEGORIES OF THE INDEPENDENT VARIABLE. I USe
THE HIGH POVERTY CATEGORY BECAUSE THAT IS WHAT IS OF INTEREST IN THIS
PARTICULAR PROBLEM. If comparing TABLES, EX. for Blacks and Hispanics AS IN
LAB 3, you would have to describe the PATTERN in each table first, and
then compare the tables. |
Comparing
high poverty tracts, note that nearly 89 percent of tracts where the
African-American population was 50 percent or higher reported high rates of
poverty, and 79.2 percent of tracts where African-Americans constituted
between 7 and 50 percent of the population fell into the high poverty
category. In sharp contrast, among non-black tracts – that is, tracts that
had 7 percent or fewer African-Americans – only 24.6 percent fell in the high
poverty category. |
2.
Stating the null and the research/alternative hypotheses usually occurs prior
to the description and analysis of the pattern in the table. In your final
project, it should grow out of your more general discussion of residential
concentration by race, i.e., the big ideas and also be connected to your
discussion of measurement and variables.
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Research/alternative
hypothesis: I hypothesize that there is a positive relationship between the
minority composition of a census tract and the poverty level of that tract.
That is, I expect to find that tracts with a higher proportion of
African-Americans report higher rates of poverty than tracts with lower
proportions of African-Americans. |
|
Null
hypothesis: There is no association between the proportion of
African-Americans and the rate of poverty in MA census tracts in 2000; any
observed difference in poverty rate between high and low minority tracts is
due to chance. |
3.
Interpreting the chi-square output. Here you need to mention the observed test
statistic, the expected test statistic, and your alpha level. You read only the
first line of the SPSS output. The rest is boilerplate that does not apply to
us. NOTE: I assume that you have already selected alpha at .05.

The
observed chi-square statistics of 292.034 is much higher than the expected
value for chi-square of 9.488 for a table with 4 degrees of freedom at the .05
level. Indeed, the probability of attaining such a high observed chi-square
statistic is less than one thousandth of one percent. On this basis, I reject
the null hypothesis of no association between poverty rate and the minority
composition of census tracts in MA in the year 2000. Instead, I find a
statistically significant relationships between race and poverty at the tract
level; the more African-Americans in a tract, the higher the reported poverty
rate is likely to be in that tract.