Current Issues in Verification

Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK)

The missile program of the DPRK, otherwise known as North Korea, threatens the United States.  President Clinton is considering whether or not he should continue talks that could shut down the missile system.  One of the questions to take into account is how to verify that North Korea has actually discontinued its missile program.1  It refuses to comply with the safeguards agreement it made with the IAEA.  In 1999, it allowed the IAEA to only perform certain safeguards, such as the verification of the freeze of graphite moderated reactors and other, similar, facilities.2

Iraq

At the end of the Gulf War, Iraq, who is a signatory of the NPT, was found to have a secret missile program.  The IAEA safeguards had not been able to detect it.  Iraq continues to avoid verification.  In 1998, the country forced inspectors to leave, in May 2000 it did not want inspectors from U.N. Monitoring, Verification and Inspection Commission to review its facilities for certain weapons.3

The IAEA’s Safeguards Expansion


As a result of having missed nuclear facilities in the DPRK and Iraq, the IAEA decided that it needed to improve its safeguard system.It launched the first part of it’s program, “Program 93+2,” in January 1996.Monitoring was expanded to include new methods, such as environmental sampling and remote monitoring.No-notice inspections within declared facilities were also a part of the new program. 

The second part of the program required member states to add a protocol to their current agreement with the IAEA.  The Model Protocol made the following changes:

*the amount of information states need to give increases, for example, they must tell the IAEA their “nuclear fuel cycle-related research and development activities--not involving nuclear materials”

*the IAEA can now visit more facilities, whether or not they are undeclared, and on short notice

*Inspectors can conduct their short-notice inspections faster through a new visa process that would allow them fatster entry into the country.

*environmental sampling is now legal to use in inspections

By June 1999, fourty countries had ratified the protocols and added to their IAEA agreements, with all the nuclear countries doing so except for Russia.4

1Perlez, Jane.“Clinton Trip to North Korea is Mired in Transitional Politics.”The New York Times20 Dec. 2000.http://www.nytimes.com/2000/12/20/world/20KORE.html

“Safeguards.”International Atomic Energy Association.2000.
http://www.iaea.org/worldatom/Documents/Anrep/Anrep99/safeguards.pdf.

3“Despite Baghdad’s opposition, U.N. still planning arms inspection.” CNN.com.24 May
2000.http://www.cnn.com/2000/WORLD/meast/05/24/un.iraq/index.html.

4“The IAEA’s 1997 Additional Safeguards Protocol.”Arms Control Association.September 1999.http://www.armscontrol.org/FACTS/93_2fact.html.