The Future of Somalia

         "A man who has warned you, has not killed you, yet."
                                                            -Somali Proverb

    Somalia's future is far from bright.  The UN Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) recently rated Somalia the hungriest country in the world. The FAO found that hungry Somalis were missing 27% of their minimum requirement compared to 26% in Afghanistan, and 27% in Haiti. The average life expectancy is about 45 years of age for men, and 48 for women (BBC).  There is no quick answer to the famine, instability, and insecurity. Though Somalia now has its first government in nearly ten years, it was referred to in a recent BBC article as "a collapsing state without a central government." The elected President of Somalia now is Abdiqasim Salad Hassan.                                     President Hassan

    The new government is supposed to lead the nation of seven million people through a transition period,  in hopes of stabilizing itself. Like the assembly, the appointment of ministers is intended to reflect Somalia's complex clan structure. The biggest task facing this government is the disarmament of thousands of gunmen, some loyal to faction leaders who are opposed to the peace process, and restoring security to the nation. Culture has the capacity and power to achieve this restoration. Somalia's culture and value systems include individual dignity, justice, and collective struggle. A worthwhile effort is completely changing Somali politics, which is yet another goal of the newly formed government.

    Unfortunately, the government does not have legitimacy in the eyes of the warlords, who continue to control much of Somalia including parts of the capital city of Mogadishu.  Fighting has continued to rage between the newly established governmental forces and those of the warlords.  Interestingly enough, one of the central warlords in this round of clashes is none other then Farrah Aideed's son, Hussein Aideed.
 


    It is because these warlords have gained such power in their national sphere,  that it is thought they may be embarking on efforts to extend this sphere internationally.  It has been hypothesized that al-Qaeda has used parts of Somalia to train its fighters.  The U.S. believes that since Somalia's central government is so week, there is great potential for the country to be used as a refuge Osama Bin-Laden's al-Qaeda network.  The focus for the investigation is on alleged connections between al-Qaeda and al-Itihaad al-Islamiya, meaning Islamic Unity.  This group was formed in the 1980's by those who were opposed to Siad Barre.  It is the United States' contention that al-Itihaad allowed alQaeda to use its bases prior to the 1998 embassy attacks (BBC).  To date, the investigation has proven nothing.  Why was the U.S. so quick to jump down the throat of Somalia?  Probably because, following the fire fight in Mogadishu in 1993 which left 18 Army Rangers dead, the United States continues to demonize this struggling nation.

    Because of the mistakes foreign nations have made throughout history, especially during the intervention,  the ability of Somalia to attempt to slowly overcome the difficulties amassed on them is nothing short of amazing. Foreign nations should recognize their part in Somalia's destruction by acknowledging Somalia's victories and sending aid without their influences, which have clearly not been beneficial in the past. Instead of continuing to see Somalia as a "bad guy" or "evil", the U.S. should be trying to help a situation they worsened by supporting the legitimately elected government.  For a successful government rooted in Somalia's own tribal beliefs will be much more respected by the people then one established by a foreign nation and is key to their future.
 
 
 
 
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What happened in Intervention?
What Went Wrong?
Future of Humanitarian Intervention
Future of Somalia
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