Political Ramifications
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Intro
Communism
fell in China in 1976, and after years of struggle to repair the troublesome
Chinese economy, the Chinese government has finally begun to establish
a name for itself in the world market. While the country is has not
yet reached that point, the government has started construction on the
Three Gorges Dam, which is the nation's great leap towards becoming an
established economic and political power. Not only will this dam provide
China with much needed income, China also hopes that, once completed, the
dam will illustrate the fact that China is a force to be reckoned with.
No dam of this size has ever been constructed, and the Chinese hope that
this construction project will show the world that China is not a problematic
third world country. Three Gorges is a step in the direction of a successful
market economy, and will allow China to be a state to be taken seriously.
Dam Development
Dam development
has been an extremely important venture in China's, as well as many other
poor countries' grasps at economic development. Not only do dams provide
hydroelectricity to thousands, they also can control floods and water shortages,
and improve river transport. In fact, China has relied on dams for thousands
of years to provide these benefits. The oldest dam in China is still in
sound condition, and has been working for over 2000 years. China has over
200 dams, but none are as large as the Three Gorges, and none has created
such extreme controversy.
The Cost
Economically,
Three Gorges is a huge investment for China. While the plans for the dam
have been in the works since the 1940's, construction was halted until
the early 1990's. The reason was not ecological nor technological, but
economical. It is estimated that the final monetary cost of this dam will
be close to US$25 billion (200-240 billion Chinese yuan). One controversial
issue of this dam as opposed to others is the fact that the investors that
invest in nearly all dams worldwide are not investing in Three Gorges.
There are many possible reasons for this dam investment change, but it
has been offered that a likely reason for these normal investors (such
as the World Bank, and the US Export-Import Bank) refusing to fund this
project are the ecological implications, or sociological impact. It is
more likely that these investors refuse to risk their money on something
that has a high chance of potential failure. True, all ventures have a
risk of failure, but it's possible that these investors felt that the risk
of failure for Three Gorges was far greater than the risks of other investment
opportunities. Nonetheless, China has found money for the project, and
Three Gorges Dam continues without a monetary hitch.
Resettlement Funds
The money
is certainly there for the construction of the dam, which the government
would not sacrifice for anything, but money is lacking in other aspects
of the project. Resettlement of the people of the Three Gorges region has
become an immense task that few are willing to take on for the long run.
Several billion yuan have been dedicated to this portion of the project,
to cover moving expenses as well as compensation for lost land and construction
for new homes. The budget for this portion of the project is already estimated
by economists and sociologists to be much lower than the rate of fair compensation.
Overlooking the already low budget, there has been mass corruption of government
officials at the town, county and even extending to state levels. Officials
in lower levels of the government have shown to be the largest problem
with corruption. Many officials take on positions in the resettlement program,
have smuggled money then have resigned from office. These officials manage
to take thousands of yuan, yet it is hard to provide evidence, and even
harder to find the officials themselves. This corruption has left the resettlement
project without sufficient funds to relocate all of the inhabitants of
the Three Gorges area, and no more money is being supplied. The result
is thousands of families without the allotted budget to move from the Three
Gorges area.
Potential for Disaster
Even after
the dam is completed, there will still be political problems to face. The
most crucial of these problems is the risk for mass destruction of the
cities and towns downriver from Three Gorges. While the risk of earthquakes
and other natural disasters are certainly worrisome, so is the risk from
other countries. If China ever enters a war, the Three Gorges dam would
be a prime target for their enemy. If the dam is destroyed, thousands of
people down river from the dam are in immense danger, as well as the headquarters
of Chinese military forces. The destruction of this dam from an enemy standpoint
would be the only component necessary to win the war with China.
We have seen that there are many political problems and potential problems linked with the Three Gorges dam, but there are many more problems outside of that of the government, which the Chinese people will have to face.