The Kyoto Protocol and Global Warming

Global Warming: A Sick Earth The Protocol The Major Players Will It Work? Resources and Links

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Global Warming: A Sick Earth

~What Is Causing the Temperature Increase: Humans or Nature?

The rising and falling of varyingly heated gases, particles and water, which make up the weather patterns we see as moving currents, shape the climate on the Earth. A variety of factors control how hot molecules get and thus, how they move about in the currents and how the climate behaves. Such factors include the concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, as well as solar energy.

current

Climate change also occurs systematically with different oscillation periods on Earth and effects from the sun. This fact is the source of much of the controversy within scientific and political communities. Some opposing parties of treaties such as the Kyoto Protocol claim that it is this natural climate change that is causing the increase in global temperatures, and that we are just on the cusp of another climatic change of guards. They claim that human activities could not possibly match the scale of the climate variations imposed by nature; climate change is ultimately an aspect of Earth that we cannot control.

However, these climate change phenomena have been shown through research to take hundreds of years to happen, causing change to be slow. It is the current rapid rate of change, coupled with the rapid increase in greenhouse emissions, that has caught concerned scientists’ attention.

 

~What are the Consequences of Increased Greenhouse Gases?

 

hockey stick

~The "hockey stick" graph revealing the rapid increase in global temperature after 1900 (source: IPCC).

co2

~This graph zooms in on the increase in CO2 emissions since 1950 (source: http://www.earth-policy.org/Indicators/CO2/CO2recentemiss.gif).

 

Over the last 160 years, the earth has seen vast changes in the concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere due to industrial advancements. Molecules such as carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) have properties that allow them to absorb energy from ultraviolet light and emit it as heat into the atmosphere as opposed to reflecting it back into space, and this increases temperatures (this is the “greenhouse effect”).

Without the Greehouse Effect (left) and With the Greehouse Effect (right). Source: http://climatechange.sea.ca/climate_change.html.http://climatechange.sea.ca/climate_change.html

 

Below is a chart detailingt he properties and sources of four major greenhouse gases:

Sources of Four Common Greenhouse Gases
Greenhouse Gas
Sources from Human Activities
Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Fossil fuel burning (industry, automobiles, etc.), wood and wood products, solid waste
Methane (CH4) Extraction and production of fossil fuels, organic decomposition from herding and farming, decomposition of municipal landfills, emission from peat bogs
Nitrous Oxide (NO2) Agricultural and industrial activities; combustion of fossil fuels and solid waste
Chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) Production of foams and as a by- product from refrigeration and air-conditioning appliances

 

 

A number of things are affected with the increase in temperature and greenhouse gas emissions. Since the 1840’s, fossil fuel combustion has lead to the increase in carbon dioxide emissions into the atmosphere, with a particular spike from the 1950’s on. Since then, there has been a recorded increase in global temperatures and artic sea ice melting.

Arctic Sea Ice

It's Getting Warmer Source: http://climatechange.sea.ca/climate_change.html

 

Scientific research has brought many scientists to dread the outcome of this temperature increase and water level raise. They concluded that with more fresh water in the oceans from the freshwater melted ice, the water in the ocean will change its pattern of sinking and rising (due to differing densities of fresh and salt water). This could eventually result in the ceasing of the main current that runs warmer water up to Europe, resulting in a Europe enveloped in ice-sold temperatures and making it virtually uninhabitable.

Another consequence of the increase in carbon dioxide emissions is the potentially irreversible, devastating effect of the release of tons and tons of methane gas from boreal peat bogs in the northern ecosystems of Canada, Scandinavia and Russia. This could be triggered by increasing temperatures in the north and the rising of the methane gas from these gigantic sinks. One thing to point out is that methane (CH4) has a capacity to store 4 times more ultraviolet energy than CO2. This means that once it is released in large quantities, a positive feedback system will kick in, and more and more energy will be absorbed into the atmosphere, permanently accelerating global warming.

Other effects include the preference of certain ecosystems for plants that favor warmer temperatures, such a preference of deciduous trees in the boreal forests over the evergreen old-growth coniferous that serve as massive carbon sinks (Deciduous trees shed their leaves every year, effectively losing large amount of carbon to microbial decomposers, which convert the carbon to, you guessed it, more CO2).


These are only a few examples of the probable effects of unbridled greenhouse gas emissions into the atmosphere, and they along with many others have prompted the United Nations to try and reverse the damaged already caused by implementing the Kyoto Protocol.

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2005 Politics 116. Laura Pothier Contact meMount Holyoke College